Pre-tourney Rankings
Alabama St.
Southwestern Athletic
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#300
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#272
Pace71.0#97
Improvement-2.0#263

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#306
Improvement-3.5#319

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#254
Improvement+1.6#96
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 59   @ Illinois L 63-80 4%     0 - 1 -5.5 -2.5 -2.4
  Nov 10, 2013 199   @ Bradley L 59-85 18%     0 - 2 -25.4 -12.4 -12.8
  Nov 16, 2013 309   @ Jacksonville St. W 84-73 42%     1 - 2 +4.1 +8.8 -4.6
  Nov 18, 2013 286   Chicago St. W 79-75 55%     2 - 2 -6.4 +5.6 -11.8
  Dec 07, 2013 248   @ Troy L 69-85 25%     2 - 3 -17.9 -8.0 -9.3
  Dec 16, 2013 263   Western Illinois W 59-52 48%     3 - 3 -1.5 -9.0 +8.1
  Dec 21, 2013 281   @ Tulane L 66-84 31%     3 - 4 -22.0 -5.2 -17.9
  Dec 22, 2013 164   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 54-67 19%     3 - 5 -12.8 -16.3 +3.0
  Jan 04, 2014 351   @ Grambling St. W 68-51 74%     4 - 5 1 - 0 +1.4 -5.9 +9.7
  Jan 06, 2014 305   @ Jackson St. L 68-70 41%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -8.8 -0.5 -8.4
  Jan 11, 2014 348   Mississippi Valley W 93-62 83%     5 - 6 2 - 1 +11.6 -5.5 +11.5
  Jan 13, 2014 323   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 77-64 69%     6 - 6 3 - 1 -1.3 +0.0 -1.3
  Jan 18, 2014 310   Alabama A&M W 67-58 OT 64%     7 - 6 4 - 1 -3.6 -8.9 +5.1
  Jan 25, 2014 326   @ Alcorn St. W 58-54 51%     8 - 6 5 - 1 -5.2 -12.6 +7.8
  Jan 27, 2014 206   @ Southern L 55-68 19%     8 - 7 5 - 2 -12.6 -8.0 -5.8
  Feb 01, 2014 329   Prairie View W 76-63 72%     9 - 7 6 - 2 -2.1 -10.7 +7.5
  Feb 03, 2014 257   Texas Southern W 79-73 OT 46%     10 - 7 7 - 2 -2.0 -12.2 +9.3
  Feb 08, 2014 348   @ Mississippi Valley W 75-70 68%     11 - 7 8 - 2 -8.8 -7.8 -1.2
  Feb 10, 2014 323   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 71-76 49%     11 - 8 8 - 3 -13.7 -0.6 -13.2
  Feb 15, 2014 310   @ Alabama A&M L 65-68 OT 42%     11 - 9 8 - 4 -10.0 -9.2 -0.7
  Feb 22, 2014 326   Alcorn St. W 92-86 71%     12 - 9 9 - 4 -8.8 +8.1 -17.1
  Feb 24, 2014 206   Southern L 64-87 36%     12 - 10 9 - 5 -28.2 -9.0 -18.5
  Mar 01, 2014 257   @ Texas Southern L 66-86 26%     12 - 11 9 - 6 -22.4 -13.2 -8.5
  Mar 03, 2014 329   @ Prairie View W 90-87 OT 52%     13 - 11 10 - 6 -6.5 +1.1 -8.0
  Mar 06, 2014 351   Grambling St. W 68-66 87%     14 - 11 11 - 6 -19.2 -19.4 +0.2
  Mar 08, 2014 305   Jackson St. W 67-63 63%     15 - 11 12 - 6 -8.4 -6.5 -1.7
  Mar 13, 2014 326   Alcorn St. W 64-51 61%     16 - 11 +1.0 -9.3 +11.2
  Mar 14, 2014 257   Texas Southern L 61-73 35%     16 - 12 -17.2 -17.4 +0.3
Projected Record 16.0 - 12.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%